14 stories tagged with #prediction-market, in publish-time order across the WeSearch catalog. Tag pages update as new stories ingest.
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Tehran’s Hormuz proposal hints at de-escalation amid low US-Iran meeting odds
Tehran's Hormuz proposal suggests de-escalation, but diplomatic meetings with Iran by April 30 sit at just 1% YES.…
$290M Kelp DAO hack raises AI threat concerns, Bitcoin may dip to $60K in April
A $290M Kelp DAO hack raises AI threat concerns, making a Bitcoin dip to $60K in April more likely; market at 0.1% YES.…
White House hints at potential US Bitcoin reserve expansion policy shift
White House hints at a potential shift in U.S. Bitcoin reserve policy. Bitcoin reaching $88K by April 26 at 0.1% YES.…
Trump rejects Iran offer, Tehran claims resilience amid US pressure
Trump rejected Iran's negotiation offer, leading to a drop in market confidence; Iranian regime fall by June 30 at 7.5% YES.…
US Midterms Odds Tracker: Democrats In The Lead To Flip The Senate
Newsweek’s tracker will be updated regularly as new polls, market odds, fundraising data, and race ratings are released.…
Gulf state leaders meet in Saudi Arabia to address Iranian drone attacks
Gulf state leaders meet in Saudi Arabia to address Iranian drone attacks. Iranian regime's fall by May 31 at 3.6% YES.…
Iran ceasefire eases oil supply fears, Strait of Hormuz reopens
Iran's ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz reopening ease oil supply fears. Crude oil all-time high by April 30 at 2% YES.…
Iran to enforce protocols for Strait of Hormuz passage post-war
Iran will enforce protocols for Strait of Hormuz passage post-war. Traffic returning to normal by May 15 at 59.5% YES.…
US-Israel strikes on Iran boost regime fall market amid unrest
US-Israel strikes on Iran raise expectations for regime change, with the chance of the Iranian regime falling by May 31 now at 51% YES.…
Most prediction market traders are losing money while bots rack up gains
Among the winners, a majority of the profits were raked in by a tiny slice of what look to be automated bots.…
US soldier accused of gambling on Maduro removal due in court
NEW YORK, April 28 - The U.S. Army soldier charged with winning $400,000 by using insider information to bet on the removal of ousted Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is due in …
We Need to Kick Prediction Market Betting Out of Journalism While We Still Can
Treating journalism like a casino will harm reporting — and erode democracy.…
US Special Forces Soldier Arrested for Polymarket Bets on Maduro Raid
The master sergeant allegedly used classified intel to profit on the capture of Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro, marking the first US arrest for insider trading on a prediction…
Teen gambling is turbocharged thanks to sports-betting and prediction markets. Parents often have no idea.
It’s ridiculously easy for kids to get hooked on gambling. Here’s how parents can help.…