Vance’s Next Move?
The ongoing war with Iran is challenging Vice President J.D. Vance's prospects for a 2028 Republican presidential nomination. Recent polling shows former Secretary of State Marco Rubio gaining more support among Republican voters than Vance. Vance's connections with pro‑Israel donor Miriam Adelson and his perceived role in the war are further complicating his political positioning.
- ▪The Iran conflict is undermining Vance's image as a future Republican nominee, as many voters associate him with a struggling economy and foreign policy setbacks.
- ▪An AtlasIntel survey in May indicated 45.4% of Republican respondents would back Rubio in the primaries, compared with 29.6% for Vance.
- ▪Vance is reported to have advised against the war privately while publicly aligning with billionaire Miriam Adelson, a known Iran hawk and major Israel‑focused donor.
- ▪Trump's eventual departure is expected to create a power vacuum within the GOP, prompting a competitive primary battle for the 2028 election.
- ▪Republican insiders, such as Maryland realtor Stacey Sauter, view Rubio as more polished and authentic, contributing to shifting support away from Vance.
Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand
Politics Vance’s Next Move? The Iran War obviously imperils the vice president’s path to power. Featured in the July/August 2026 issue <div class="o-image__issue-wrapper"> <img class="o-image__image" srcset="https://tac.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/ADay-TAC-headshot-1.jpg?auto=format&crop=faces%2Centropy&fit=crop&ixlib=php-3.3.1&w=32 32w, https://tac.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/ADay-TAC-headshot-1.jpg?auto=format&crop=faces%2Centropy&fit=crop&ixlib=php-3.3.1&w=32 32w, https://tac.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/ADay-TAC-headshot-1.jpg?auto=format&crop=faces%2Centropy&fit=crop&ixlib=php-3.3.1&w=32 32w,…
Excerpt limited to ~120 words for fair-use compliance. The full article is at The American Conservative.
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