US-Iran Peace Deal Won’t Eliminate Security Risks
The ongoing diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran may lead to an initial peace agreement, but significant security challenges will remain in the region. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz for commercial shipping will require extensive logistical coordination and the clearing of sea mines. Experts predict that while shipping volumes may recover partially within weeks, a full return to pre-war levels could take several years.
- ▪Vice President JD Vance recently engaged in talks with Iranian officials in Islamabad.
- ▪An interim peace agreement is expected to be followed by a detailed negotiation period of 30 to 60 days.
- ▪Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz may only return to 30-50% of pre-war volume shortly after a peace deal.
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Editors' PickBusinessAerospace & DefenseUS-Iran Peace Deal Won’t Eliminate Security RisksByMichael P. Dempsey,Contributor.Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Dempsey is a senior advisor at The Eurasia Group,Follow AuthorMay 28, 2026, 03:31pm EDT--:-- / --:--This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more.This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more.Vice President JD Vance visited Islamabad Pakistan last month for talks with Iranian officials, a rare direct engagement between senior U.S.
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