Trump: Fed rate cuts may wait until Iran conflict ends
Former President Donald Trump has suggested that interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may be delayed until the ongoing conflict involving the U.S., Israel, and Iran concludes. This situation has led to increased geopolitical instability, which is affecting market expectations regarding monetary policy. The current market pricing indicates a low likelihood of rate cuts in 2026.
- ▪Trump's statement implies a postponement of interest rate cuts until the Iran conflict ends.
- ▪The ongoing military engagements have escalated into a broader regional war.
- ▪Market pricing reflects a reduced likelihood of rate cuts in 2026.
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## Market Snapshot Fed rate cuts for 2026 are priced at 68.5% YES for no cuts, down from 70% a day ago. The possibility of a rate cut in June or July is priced at less than 1% YES. ## Key Takeaways – Trump’s statement suggests a delay in interest rate cuts until the Iran war ends, affecting market pricing. – The current market pricing is consistent with a low likelihood of rate cuts in 2026. – The ongoing conflict between the U.S., Israel, and Iran continues to influence Federal Reserve policy expectations.
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