Trump considers Iranian offer to reopen Strait of Hormuz, easing oil tensions
Trump is considering Iran's offer to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a drop in oil price expectations; Crude Oil All Time High by April 30 at 0.5% YES.
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Donald Trump is weighing an Iranian offer to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, potentially easing oil market tensions. WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 in April 2026 sits at 0.2% YES. The prospect of de-escalation slashed odds across oil price markets. The Crude Oil All Time High by April 30 contract is at 0.5% YES, down from 1% yesterday and 4% a week ago. The WTI Crude Oil Price in April market holds at 0.2% YES, with traders clearly skeptical that prices reach $160 before month-end. The near-zero odds on $160 WTI aren’t moving. These markets have been reactive: a 50-point spike hit at 11:40 AM last week when geopolitical tensions were higher. But actual USDC traded is modest, at $1,012 across WTI markets and $754 in the crude oil high market, which points to thin conviction on both sides.
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