Time-Series Forecasting in Safety-Critical Environments: An EU-AI-Act-Compliant Open-Source Package / Zeitreihenprognose in sicherheitskritischen Umgebungen: Ein KI-VO-konformes Open-Source-Paket
With spotforecast2-safe we present an integrated Compliance-by-Design approach to Python-based point forecasting of time series in safety-critical environments. A review of the relevant open-source tooling shows that existing compliance solutions operate consistently outside of the library to be used - e.g. as scanners, templates, or runtime layers. spotforecast2-safe takes the inverse approach and anchors the requirements of Regulation (EU) 2024/1689 (the EU AI Act, in German: KI-VO), of IEC 61508, of the ISA/IEC 62443 standards series, and of the Cyber Resilience Act within the library: in application-programming-interface contracts, persistence formats, and continuous-integration gates. The approach is operationalised by four non-negotiable code-development rules (zero dead code, deterministic processing, fail-safe handling, minimal dependencies) together with the corresponding process rules (model card, executable docstrings, CI workflows, Common-Platform-Enumeration (CPE) identifier, REUSE-conformant licensing, release pipeline). Interactive visualisation, hyperparameter tuning and automated machine learning (AutoML), as well as deep-learning and large-language-model backends are deliberately excluded, because each of these components either enlarges the attack surface, introduces non-determinism, or impairs reproducibility. A bidirectional traceability matrix maps every regulatory provision onto the corresponding mechanism in the code; an end-to-end example of European-market electricity generation, transmission, and consumption forecasting demonstrates the application. The package is open-source and available under Affero General Public License (AGPL) 3.0-or-later.
Full article excerpt tap to expand
Computer Science > Artificial Intelligence arXiv:2604.23859 (cs) [Submitted on 26 Apr 2026] Title:Time-Series Forecasting in Safety-Critical Environments: An EU-AI-Act-Compliant Open-Source Package / Zeitreihenprognose in sicherheitskritischen Umgebungen: Ein KI-VO-konformes Open-Source-Paket Authors:Thomas Bartz-Beielstein, Eva Bartz View a PDF of the paper titled Time-Series Forecasting in Safety-Critical Environments: An EU-AI-Act-Compliant Open-Source Package / Zeitreihenprognose in sicherheitskritischen Umgebungen: Ein KI-VO-konformes Open-Source-Paket, by Thomas Bartz-Beielstein and Eva Bartz View PDF HTML (experimental) Abstract:With spotforecast2-safe we present an integrated Compliance-by-Design approach to Python-based point forecasting of time series in safety-critical environments. A review of the relevant open-source tooling shows that existing compliance solutions operate consistently outside of the library to be used - e.g. as scanners, templates, or runtime layers. spotforecast2-safe takes the inverse approach and anchors the requirements of Regulation (EU) 2024/1689 (the EU AI Act, in German: KI-VO), of IEC 61508, of the ISA/IEC 62443 standards series, and of the Cyber Resilience Act within the library: in application-programming-interface contracts, persistence formats, and continuous-integration gates. The approach is operationalised by four non-negotiable code-development rules (zero dead code, deterministic processing, fail-safe handling, minimal dependencies) together with the corresponding process rules (model card, executable docstrings, CI workflows, Common-Platform-Enumeration (CPE) identifier, REUSE-conformant licensing, release pipeline). Interactive visualisation, hyperparameter tuning and automated machine learning (AutoML), as well as deep-learning and large-language-model backends are deliberately excluded, because each of these components either enlarges the attack surface, introduces non-determinism, or impairs reproducibility. A bidirectional traceability matrix maps every regulatory provision onto the corresponding mechanism in the code; an end-to-end example of European-market electricity generation, transmission, and consumption forecasting demonstrates the application. The package is open-source and available under Affero General Public License (AGPL) 3.0-or-later. Comments: Bilingual twin paper: English version first, German original below (91 pages total). Single shared bibliography Subjects: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI) MSC classes: 68M25 (Primary), 68T01 (Secondary), 68-04 ACM classes: K.5.0; I.2.5; D.2.0; D.2.9; G.4; K.6.5 Cite as: arXiv:2604.23859 [cs.AI] (or arXiv:2604.23859v1 [cs.AI] for this version) https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2604.23859 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration) Submission history From: Thomas Bartz-Beielstein [view email] [v1] Sun, 26 Apr 2026 20:05:41 UTC (665 KB) Full-text links: Access Paper: View a PDF of the paper titled Time-Series Forecasting in Safety-Critical Environments: An EU-AI-Act-Compliant Open-Source Package / Zeitreihenprognose in sicherheitskritischen Umgebungen: Ein KI-VO-konformes Open-Source-Paket, by Thomas Bartz-Beielstein and Eva BartzView PDFHTML (experimental)TeX Source view license Current browse context: cs.AI < prev | next > new | recent | 2026-04 Change to browse by: cs References & Citations NASA ADSGoogle Scholar Semantic Scholar export BibTeX citation Loading... BibTeX formatted citation × loading...…
This excerpt is published under fair use for community discussion. Read the full article at arXiv.org.
Discussion
0 commentsMore from arXiv.org