The migration maths behind the housing crisis is not what politicians claim
Angus Taylor's proposal to link immigration numbers to housing construction may not effectively reduce migration as claimed. Current forecasts suggest that migration numbers could remain stable or even increase, contrary to the Coalition's expectations. Experts indicate that the actual net overseas migration is likely to align closely with government predictions, undermining the proposed policy's intended impact.
- ▪Angus Taylor has proposed a migration cap based on the number of houses built.
- ▪Current forecasts predict net overseas migration will remain around 300,000, not significantly higher than previous years.
- ▪Experts argue that linking migration to housing may not lead to a reduction in immigration numbers.
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analysisAngus Taylor’s migration cap may not cut migration at allBy Alan KohlerTopic:Housing PolicyMon 25 May 2026 at 4:45amMon 25 May 2026 at 4:45amMon 25 May 2026 at 4:45amAngus Taylor proposes a return to full immigration targeting, with the number to be based on houses built. (ABC News: Callum Flinn)abc.net.au/news/housing-crisis-migration-cap-kohler/106716056Link copiedShareShare articleThe last Australian immigration minister to argue for a specific target for overall overseas migration fixed to a percentage of the total population was Labor's Arthur Caldwell in 1945.Calwell's speech to parliament on August 2 that year became famous for kicking off Australia's "populate or perish" immigration push.
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