Once unthinkable, Democrats now have a realistic shot at the Senate
Democrats have a realistic shot at winning the Senate due to an increasingly hostile political environment for Republicans. President Trump's low approval rating and the shifting prediction markets have given Democrats an opening to pick up the necessary seats. However, a blue wave is not guaranteed, and Democrats need to hold their own competitive seats and flip a handful of Republican-held seats to win the Senate.
- ▪President Trump's approval rating is at historic lows, sitting at 38 percent.
- ▪Democrats need to pick up a net of four seats to win the Senate, with several key races in states Trump won.
- ▪Several Democratic candidates, including former Gov. Roy Cooper in North Carolina, are leading in the polls against their Republican opponents.
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Opinion>Opinions - Campaign The views expressed by contributors are their own and not the view of The Hill Once unthinkable, Democrats now have a realistic shot at the Senate Comments: by Douglas Schoen and Carly Cooperman, opinion contributors - 05/18/26 8:30 AM ET Comments: Link copied by Douglas Schoen and Carly Cooperman, opinion contributors - 05/18/26 8:30 AM ET Comments: Link copied North Carolina Democratic Senate candidate former Gov. Roy Cooper speaks at a primary election night watch party Tuesday, March 3, 2026, in Raleigh, N.C. (AP Photo/Matt Ramey) One year ago, the question of Senate control in 2026 seemed settled. Indeed, unlike the House, which Democrats were long favored to win, the Senate map was far less hospitable.
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