Numbers suggest firing Carlos Mendoza won’t jumpstart lowly Mets
The New York Mets continue to struggle despite assurances from management that improvement is coming, with manager Carlos Mendoza remaining in place amid poor team performance. Historical data suggests that midseason managerial changes rarely lead to significant improvements, as new managers inherit the same flawed rosters. Examples of successful in-season replacements are rare, and in most cases, teams do not exceed expectations after a firing.
- ▪Manager Carlos Mendoza remains with the Mets despite ongoing team struggles and speculation about his job security.
- ▪Since 2004, teams that fired managers midseason saw only a marginal improvement in winning percentage under new leadership.
- ▪FanGraphs analysis shows new managers won 1.5 fewer games than expected after taking over midseason.
- ▪The 2022 Philadelphia Phillies and 2015 Milwaukee Brewers are rare examples of teams that improved significantly after a managerial change.
- ▪President of baseball operations David Stearns appears unwilling to make a change at manager despite the team's poor performance.
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