No, an AI cannot know the future and never will..
The article discusses the limitations of artificial intelligence in predicting the future, citing the complexity of event chains and the finite nature of human experiences. It highlights the issues with current modalities used to train AI models, including the lack of low-level event chains and the dependence on human perspectives. The article concludes that these limitations will hold back the development of AI for some time.
- ▪AI models are trained on finite and limited event chains, which do not capture the full complexity of real-life events.
- ▪The current modalities used to train AI models are dependent on human perspectives and lack low-level event chains.
- ▪The finite nature of human experiences and the limitations of current modalities will hold back the development of AI.
Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand
No, an AI cannot know the future and never will..Confronting the Chaos and DemonsPulkit SharmaJul 19, 202611Sharehttps://xkcd.com/248/“A butterfly flaps its wings… the resulting air movement creates a chain of disruptions. This disruption propagates across the ocean, eventually feeding into a massive, swirling hurricane.”“A butterfly flaps its wings… the resulting air movement creates the sufficient force required to dislodge an extra spore in the air which would then seed the mushroom in your garden”Let’s call these sequence of events as event chains. These event chains are something which us humans have been capturing using different modalities (audio, text, images, movies) for quite sometime now. And as you know, now happily handed over as inputs to train AI models.
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Excerpt limited to ~120 words for fair-use compliance. The full article is at Substack.