New data reveals 100% chance of strong ‘Super’ El Nino forming this year
A strong 'Super' El Niño is predicted to form this year with a 100% chance, according to new data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. This phenomenon could lead to wetter conditions in the southern U.S. and suppress hurricane activity in the Atlantic. However, the forecast still anticipates a near-normal number of storms and hurricanes for the season.
- ▪The ECMWF's May forecast indicates a strong El Niño could develop by November.
- ▪Typically, a strong El Niño results in decreased hurricane activity in the Atlantic.
- ▪The forecast predicts 13 named storms and 6 hurricanes this season, close to the seasonal average.
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US News New data reveals 100% chance of strong ‘Super’ El Nino forming this year By FOX Weather Published May 18, 2026, 7:11 a.m. ET See more of our coverage in your search results. Add The New York Post on Google Originally Published by: Rare Level 4 out of 5 threat issued ahead of major severe weather outbreak stretching 1,000 miles Dangerous severe weather outbreak with monster hail and strong tornadoes targets a dozen states The latest long-range European forecast shows there’s a 100% chance of a super El Niño, potentially suppressing hurricane activity and making for a wetter fall and winter in the southern U.S.
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