Matthew Stafford’s MVP season was fueled by massive ‘luck cushion’ — what it means for 2026
Matthew Stafford's MVP season in 2025 was significantly influenced by an unusual amount of turnover luck, according to a study by Pro Football Focus. The analysis revealed that Stafford had the highest positive interception variance in the league, suggesting that his performance may not be sustainable. As the Rams face a challenging schedule in 2026, the potential for regression in Stafford's turnover luck could impact their Super Bowl aspirations.
- ▪Matthew Stafford won the MVP award in 2025, leading the Rams back into Super Bowl contention.
- ▪Pro Football Focus reported that Stafford had the largest positive interception variance in the NFL at +6.8.
- ▪The Rams are projected to have the fifth-hardest schedule in 2026, which includes matchups against top teams like the Bills and Chiefs.
Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand
NFL Matthew Stafford’s MVP season was fueled by massive ‘luck cushion’ — what it means for 2026 By Ryan Anderson Published May 28, 2026, 7:21 p.m. ET See more of our coverage in your search results. Add The California Post on Google Matthew Stafford’s brilliant 2025 campaign secured him his first MVP award and pushed the Los Angeles Rams back into the Super Bowl conversation, but a new study from Pro Football Focus suggests the veteran quarterback may have been riding the NFL’s biggest wave of turnover luck. According to PFF’s “net luck” model, Stafford posted the largest positive interception variance in football at +6.8 — a staggering 2.3 points ahead of the next closest quarterback, Titans’ Cam Ward.
…
Excerpt limited to ~120 words for fair-use compliance. The full article is at California Post.
Discussion
0 commentsMore from California Post
