Iranian FM, parliament speaker arrive in Doha for US-Iran deal talks
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf are in Doha to discuss a potential US-Iran agreement. Their visit follows indications from US officials that a deal could be forthcoming, although Iranian representatives have tempered expectations. Qatar continues to play a crucial role as a mediator in these diplomatic efforts.
- ▪Araghchi and Ghalibaf arrived in Doha on May 25 to meet with Qatar’s Prime Minister.
- ▪US Secretary of State Marco Rubio suggested a deal could be signed soon, but Iran's Foreign Ministry cautioned that no agreement is imminent.
- ▪The meeting marks a significant level of Iranian diplomatic engagement since ceasefire negotiations began.
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## Market Snapshot Iran ceasefire continuation markets are priced at 96.4% YES through May 27 and 92.5% YES through May 31, both up roughly 2–3 points over the prior 24 hours. The May 27 sub-market carries over $141,000 in daily actual volume. ## Key Takeaways – Araghchi’s physical arrival in Doha appears consistent with active facilitation of US-Iran diplomatic engagement, supportive of YES outcomes across near-term ceasefire sub-markets. – Pricing suggests participants view Qatar’s mediation role as a key indicator for ceasefire continuation, with the May 27 contract now at its highest level in recent sessions.
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