HSBC turns bullish on U.S. equities, citing earnings momentum
HSBC upgraded U.S. equities to 'overweight' due to strong earnings momentum and easing geopolitical risks, while downgrading Europe ex-UK to 'neutral' over growth and energy concerns. The bank highlighted robust corporate earnings, strong buyback activity, and favorable seasonality supporting U.S. stocks. It maintained a preference for sectors with low commodity input costs and upgraded global Basic Materials, while downgrading health care and industrials. HSBC cautioned on energy prices and potential sector rotation if oil remains elevated.
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ShareSave for laterPlease log in to bookmark this story.Log InCreate Free AccountHSBC on Tuesday upgraded its stance on U.S. equities to “overweight” from “neutral, as earnings momentum and easing geopolitical risks turned the narrative back towards fundamentals.The British brokerage, however, downgraded Europe ex-UK to “neutral,” saying “European activity looks much weaker and is more at risk from higher energy prices.”Earlier this month, some Wall Street brokerages, including Citigroup and BlackRock Investment Institute, which upgraded U.S. equities, have struck a similar note, favoring U.S. stocks over their global peers.HSBC noted that nearly 30 per cent of U.S. companies, so far, have reported earnings in the first quarter, 84 per cent of which have beaten Wall Street’s expectations by an average of 12 per cent, above the five-year average.“Buybacks are adding a steady, but important, tailwind. Announced S&P 500 buybacks total $430 billion year-to-date, up 20% year-on-year. Seasonality also helps, with Q2 typically strong,” the brokerage added.HSBC also cautioned that “there are a few areas worth watching closely: first, oil and energy prices; second, the potential for sector rotation if energy prices remain elevated for an extended period. A durable ceasefire between the US and Iran would likely ease prices, especially if traffic through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal.”Looking ahead, HSBC said it continues to prefer sectors with lower commodity input cost exposure, including banks, insurance, and technology.At the sector level, HSBC upgrades global Basic Materials to “overweight,” reflecting strong earnings revisions and the view that commodities should remain supported by a broader commodity “squeeze,” while downgrading both global health care and industrials sectors to “neutral.”
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