How the UAE’s decision to leave Opec could recast the Middle East
The UAE's decision to leave Opec is a significant political and economic move that may alter the dynamics in the Middle East. This departure allows the UAE to respond more flexibly to oil supply constraints while highlighting tensions with Saudi Arabia. The move could also enhance the UAE's standing with the US, particularly under Donald Trump's influence.
- ▪The UAE's exit from Opec is seen as a blow to Saudi Arabia's prestige and could weaken its control over oil prices.
- ▪The UAE has faced significant attacks from Iran and has been advocating for joint counterattacks with other Gulf states.
- ▪The UAE aims to increase its oil production capacity from 3.4 million barrels per day to 5 million by 2027.
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A moment of quiet at Dubai’s Creek Harbour earlier this month. The UAE has been hard hit by Iran and has privately pushed Gulf states for couterattacks. Photograph: Fadel Senna/AFP/Getty ImagesView image in fullscreenA moment of quiet at Dubai’s Creek Harbour earlier this month. The UAE has been hard hit by Iran and has privately pushed Gulf states for couterattacks. Photograph: Fadel Senna/AFP/Getty ImagesOpecAnalysisHow the UAE’s decision to leave Opec could recast the Middle EastPatrick Wintour Diplomatic editorDefection is damaging to Saudi Arabia’s prestige – and could strengthen the US hand in the regionTue 28 Apr 2026 14.58 EDTLast modified on Tue 28 Apr 2026 18.18 EDTShareThe United Arab Emirates’ decision to walk out of Opec is a political as much as business decision, and will…
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