Brazil's Lula tied with Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in second-round in Datafolha poll
A recent Datafolha poll indicates that Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is tied with Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a potential second-round runoff. Both candidates are projected to receive 45% of the vote, reflecting a statistical tie within the margin of error. In the first round, Lula is expected to receive 38% while Flavio is at 35%.
- ▪The Datafolha poll shows Lula and Flavio tied at 45% in a second-round runoff.
- ▪In the first round, Lula is projected to receive 38% and Flavio 35%.
- ▪Flavio Bolsonaro is facing scrutiny over his alleged financial dealings with former banker Daniel Vorcaro.
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Brazil's Lula tied with Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in second-round in Datafolha pollSign up now: Get ST's newsletters delivered to your inboxPublished May 17, 2026, 01:13 AMUpdated May 17, 2026, 01:13 AMSAO PAULO, May 16 - A second-round runoff in October between Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro would result in a draw, the latest Datafolha poll released on Saturday indicated.• According to the poll, a second-round runoff between Lula and Flavio, the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, would see both men draw 45% of the vote.• In April, the poll showed Lula attracting 45% and Flavio 46% in the runoff, a statistical tie due to the poll's margin of error of approximately two percentage points.• According to the poll of 2,004 voters, Lula would get…
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