Brazil's Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro are neck and neck in presidential runoff, poll finds
President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro are statistically tied in a potential 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff, according to an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll, with Lula at 47.5% and Bolsonaro at 47.8%. A previous poll in March showed a similar margin, and another recent poll also indicated a dead heat between the two. Lula leads in first-round simulations, but no candidate is projected to secure an outright majority, making a runoff likely. Brazil's general elections are set for October, with markets closely watching political developments.
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Brazil's Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro are neck and neck in presidential runoff, poll findsSign up now: Get ST's newsletters delivered to your inboxPublished Apr 28, 2026, 07:33 PMUpdated Apr 28, 2026, 08:53 PMListenSAO PAULO, April 28 - Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro were tied in a simulated run-off, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll showed on Tuesday, ahead of this year's presidential election.• Right-wing challenger Bolsonaro would receive 47.8% of the vote in a second round of voting, compared with 47.5% for the leftist incumbent.• In a March poll, Bolsonaro had 47.6% to Lula's 46.6%.• A BTG Pactual/Nexus poll on Monday had also shown the two frontrunners were statistically tied.• In two first-round simulations, Lula was expected to win between 44.2%…
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